House Prediction
Model Margin
Penn State by 32.6
Home Win Probability
Penn State 97%
No market line posted for this game.
fitted_v1 · Sep 19, 2026
Line Movement
Hover a snapshot for details
O/U 49.5 → 49
| Team | 1Q | 2Q | 3Q | 4Q | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Buffalo | 3 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 13 |
 Penn State | 17 | 17 | 14 | 7 | 55 |
Scoring Timeline
Drive Chart
Box Score
| Statistic | Buffalo | Penn State |
|---|---|---|
| Passing | 10-25 | 15-26 |
| Pass Yards | 60 | 269 |
| Rush Yards | 113 | 304 |
| Total Yards | 173 | 573 |
| Turnovers | 2 | 0 |
| 3rd Down | 1-14 | 2-10 |
| Penalties | 3-30 | 8-96 |
| Possession | 28:37 | 31:23 |
Player Leaders
Player Leaders
Play-by-Play
No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Wright rush middle for 2 yards gain to the BUF27 (#1 I.Ezeogu; #92 S.Taupaki)
Shotgun #4 M.Burch rush middle for 1 yard gain to the BUF28 (#8 K.Ebel)
Shotgun #7 J.Wright pass incomplete short middle to #5 C.Walker thrown to BUF35 broken up by #13 T.Rojas
#90 E.Stumpf punt 47 yards to the PSU25 #2 Z.Robinson return 38 yards to the BUF37 (#90 E.Stumpf), out of bounds
Shotgun #3 R.Becht pass complete short left to #84 G.Burkle caught at BUF34, for 4 yards to the BUF33, out of bounds at BUF33
No Huddle-Shotgun #21 C.Hansen rush middle for 3 yards gain to the BUF30 (#99 C.Evans)
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Becht rush middle for 0 yards to the BUF30 (#17 L.Goodwin)
#94 R.Barker field goal attempt from 48 yards GOOD (H: #38 N.Tiyce, LS: #35 B.Sokach-Minnick), clock 11:53
No Huddle-Shotgun #24 J.McNeil, Jr. rush middle for 2 yards gain to the BUF27 (#33 A.McPherson; #3 J.Patton)
Shotgun #7 J.Wright pass complete short left to #8 J.Gathings caught at BUF31, for 4 yards to the BUF31, End Of Play
Shotgun #7 J.Wright pass incomplete short left to #5 C.Walker thrown to BUF34 broken up by #4 J.Cooper
#90 E.Stumpf punt 50 yards to the PSU19 #2 Z.Robinson return 0 yards to the PSU19, out of bounds at PSU19
No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Peoples rush middle for 4 yards gain to the PSU23 (#33 J.Owens; #97 C.Climes)
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Becht pass incomplete short right to #0 C.Sowell thrown to PSU35, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY BUF Pass Interference (#3 O.Bridges) 15 yards from PSU23 to PSU38, 1ST DOWN
#1 J.Peoples rush right for 9 yards gain to the PSU47 (#99 C.Evans; #33 J.Owens)
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Becht pass complete deep middle to #6 K.Howard caught at BUF24, for 31 yards to the BUF22 (#6 M.Greer), 1ST DOWN
No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Peoples rush left for 6 yards gain to the BUF16 (#4 R.Davis), out of bounds
No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Peoples rush right for 16 yards gain to the BUF00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:00, 1ST DOWN #94 R.Barker kick attempt good (H: #38 N.Tiyce, LS: #35 B.Sokach-Minnick)
No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Wright pass complete short right to #4 M.Burch caught at BUF24, for 1 yard to the BUF26 (#7 Z.Tracy)
Shotgun #7 J.Wright rush middle for 6 yards loss to the BUF20 fumbled by #7 J.Wright at BUF23 forced by #10 C.Bacon recovered by PSU #1 I.Ezeogu at BUF20, End Of Play
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Becht pass complete short left to #6 K.Howard caught at BUF07, for 14 yards to the BUF06 (#3 O.Bridges), 1ST DOWN
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Becht pass incomplete short middle to #6 K.Howard thrown to BUF00
#21 C.Hansen rush left for 3 yards gain to the BUF03 (#11 W.Clark)
Andrew Rappleyea 3 Yd pass from Rocco Becht (Ryan Barker Kick)
No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Wright pass incomplete short middle to #6 C.Morrow thrown to BUF33
No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Wright pass incomplete short right to #5 C.Walker thrown to BUF30 QB hurried by #33 A.McPherson
No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Wright pass incomplete short right to #1 P.Folmar thrown to BUF35 PENALTY BUF Holding declined
#90 E.Stumpf punt 54 yards to the PSU21
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Becht pass incomplete deep right to #18 B.Brahmer thrown to PSU43
#1 J.Peoples rush left for 1 yard gain to the PSU22 (#2 S.Bracey)
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Becht pass complete short right to #2 Z.Robinson caught at PSU35, for 13 yards to the PSU35, End Of Play PENALTY PSU Holding (#68 A.Donkoh) 10 yards from PSU22 to PSU12. NO PLAY
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Becht pass complete short middle to #87 A.Rappleyea caught at PSU24, for 13 yards to the PSU25 (#41 S.Brown)
#38 N.Tiyce punt 32 yards to the BUF43, out of bounds at BUF43
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 M.Burch rush middle for 4 yards gain to the BUF47 (#19 Y.Kemajou) PENALTY PSU Illegal Use Of Hands (#92 S.Taupaki) 15 yards from BUF47 to PSU38, 1ST DOWN
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 M.Burch rush middle for 2 yards gain to the PSU36 (#13 T.Rojas)
Shotgun #7 J.Wright pass incomplete deep left to #6 C.Morrow thrown to PSU10, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY PSU Pass Interference (#0 J.Joseph) 15 yards from PSU36 to PSU21, 1ST DOWN
No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Wright pass complete short right to #6 C.Morrow caught at PSU06, for 16 yards to the PSU05 (#5 D.Dixson), 1ST DOWN
Shotgun #24 J.McNeil, Jr. rush middle for 1 yard gain to the PSU04 (#8 K.Ebel)
Shotgun #7 J.Wright pass incomplete short left to #6 C.Morrow thrown to PSU00
#7 J.Wright pass incomplete short left to #5 C.Walker thrown to PSU03 QB hurried by #19 Y.Kemajou
#31 O.Hautanen field goal attempt from 21 yards GOOD (H: #90 E.Stumpf, LS: #48 J.Stoever), clock 01:39
No Huddle-Shotgun #25 Q.Martin rush right for 7 yards gain to the PSU32 (#33 J.Owens)
No Huddle-Shotgun #25 Q.Martin rush left for 61 yards gain to the BUF07 (#22 D.Rodriguez), 1ST DOWN
No Huddle-Shotgun #25 Q.Martin rush middle for 2 yards gain to the BUF05 (#88 R.Stinchcomb; #17 L.Goodwin)
No Huddle #3 R.Becht sacked for loss of 2 yards to the BUF07 (#41 S.Brown)
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Becht pass incomplete short left to #6 K.Howard thrown to BUF00
#94 R.Barker field goal attempt from 25 yards GOOD (H: #38 N.Tiyce, LS: #35 B.Sokach-Minnick), clock 14:14
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 M.Burch rush middle for 0 yards to the BUF25 (#33 A.McPherson)
Shotgun #7 J.Wright pass complete short left to #4 M.Burch caught at BUF21, for 2 yards to the BUF27 (#25 A.Tatsch)
Shotgun #7 J.Wright pass incomplete short right to #6 C.Morrow thrown to BUF33
#90 E.Stumpf punt 50 yards to the PSU23 #2 Z.Robinson return 30 yards to the BUF47 (#7 J.Keough), out of bounds
No Huddle-Shotgun #21 C.Hansen rush right for 16 yards gain to the BUF31 (#6 M.Greer), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Becht pass complete short middle to #87 A.Rappleyea caught at BUF28, for 8 yards to the BUF23 (#6 M.Greer; #13 J.Cheshire)
No Huddle-Shotgun #21 C.Hansen rush middle for 3 yards gain to the BUF20 (#15 S.Vessah), 1ST DOWN
No Huddle-Shotgun #6 K.Howard rush left for 20 yards gain to the BUF00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:47, 1ST DOWN #94 R.Barker kick attempt good (H: #38 N.Tiyce, LS: #35 B.Sokach-Minnick)
No Huddle-Shotgun #24 J.McNeil, Jr. rush middle for 0 yards to the BUF25 (#10 C.Bacon)
Shotgun #24 J.McNeil, Jr. rush middle for 2 yards gain to the BUF27 (#91 A.Nnodim)
No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Wright pass complete short right to #5 C.Walker caught at BUF32, for 6 yards to the BUF33 (#25 A.Tatsch), out of bounds
#90 E.Stumpf punt 54 yards to the PSU13 #2 Z.Robinson return 11 yards to the PSU24, out of bounds at PSU24
No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Peoples rush middle for 2 yards gain to the PSU26 (#44 Z.Bergmann; #21 B.Ilunga-Bisselele). The previous play is under automatic review - "Runner was down prior to losing the ball". CALL OVERTURNED. (Original Play: No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Peoples rush middle for 1 yard gain to the PSU25 fumbled by #1 J.Peoples at PSU27 forced by #21 B.Ilunga-Bisselele recovered by BUF #11 W.Clark at PSU25, End Of Play)
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Becht pass complete short left to #18 B.Brahmer caught at PSU31, for 10 yards to the PSU36 (#7 J.Keough; #44 Z.Bergmann), 1ST DOWN
No Huddle-Shotgun #25 Q.Martin rush left for 6 yards gain to the PSU42 (#41 S.Brown)
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Becht pass incomplete short left to #84 G.Burkle thrown to PSU43 broken up by #21 B.Ilunga-Bisselele
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Becht pass incomplete short left to #18 B.Brahmer thrown to PSU45 broken up by #44 Z.Bergmann
#38 N.Tiyce punt 43 yards to the BUF15
No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Wright rush right for 1 yard gain to the BUF16 (#17 J.Zayas), out of bounds
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 M.Burch rush right for 1 yard loss to the BUF15 (#19 Y.Kemajou)
No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Wright pass incomplete short right to #5 C.Walker thrown to BUF27 broken up by #2 A.Collins QB hurried by #19 Y.Kemajou
#90 E.Stumpf punt 49 yards to the PSU36 #2 Z.Robinson return 19 yards to the BUF45 (#48 J.Stoever) PENALTY PSU Illegal Block in Back (#21 V.Toure) 10 yards from BUF45 to PSU45
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Becht pass incomplete short right to #25 Q.Martin thrown to PSU42 PENALTY BUF Roughing The Passer (#41 S.Brown) 15 yards from PSU45 to BUF40, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Becht rush middle for 5 yards loss to the BUF45 fumbled by #3 R.Becht at BUF45 recovered by PSU #3 R.Becht at BUF45, End Of Play
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Becht pass incomplete short right to #0 C.Sowell thrown to BUF47 broken up by #11 W.Clark
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Becht pass incomplete short right to #26 C.Wallace thrown to BUF40 QB hurried by #30 J.Bennett
#38 N.Tiyce punt 45 yards to the BUF00, Touchback
No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Wright pass complete short left to #1 P.Folmar caught at BUF23, for 3 yards to the BUF23 (#5 D.Dixson)
Shotgun #7 J.Wright pass incomplete short right to #1 P.Folmar thrown to BUF25 broken up by #7 Z.Tracy
Shotgun #7 J.Wright pass incomplete short right to #5 C.Walker thrown to BUF35 QB hurried by #25 A.Tatsch
#90 E.Stumpf punt 47 yards to the PSU30
Koby Howard 70 Yd pass from Rocco Becht (Ryan Barker Kick)
Shotgun #4 M.Burch rush middle for 4 yards gain to the BUF28 (#8 K.Ebel)
No Huddle-Shotgun #0 N.Hill rush middle for 3 yards gain to the BUF31 (#10 C.Bacon)
No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Wright pass complete short right to #1 P.Folmar caught at BUF33, for 2 yards to the BUF33 (#17 J.Zayas)
No Huddle-Shotgun #0 N.Hill rush middle for 6 yards gain to the BUF39 (#10 C.Bacon), 1ST DOWN
No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Wright pass complete short right to #5 C.Walker caught at BUF40, for 1 yard to the BUF40 fumbled by #5 C.Walker at BUF40 forced by #31 M.Neal, out of bounds at BUF40
Shotgun #7 J.Wright rush left for 21 yards gain to the PSU39, out of bounds at PSU39, 1ST DOWN
No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Wright pass incomplete deep left to #11 D.Early, Jr. thrown to PSU19 PENALTY PSU Pass Interference (#7 Z.Tracy) 15 yards from PSU39 to PSU24, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY
No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Wright pass complete short left to #11 D.Early, Jr. caught at PSU14, for 10 yards to the PSU14, End Of Play, 1ST DOWN
No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Wright pass incomplete short middle thrown to PSU16 QB hurried by #8 K.Ebel PENALTY BUF Intentional Grounding (#7 J.Wright)
No Huddle-Shotgun #0 N.Hill rush right for 3 yards gain to the PSU21 (#99 K.Williams; #3 J.Patton)
Oliver Hautanen 38 Yd Field Goal
No Huddle #25 Q.Martin rush middle for 1 yard gain to the PSU26 (#97 C.Climes; #41 S.Brown)
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Becht pass complete deep left to #0 C.Sowell caught at BUF40, for 35 yards to the BUF39 (#0 K.Blackwell), 1ST DOWN
No Huddle-Shotgun #25 Q.Martin rush middle for 1 yard gain to the BUF38 (#41 S.Brown; #17 L.Goodwin)
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Becht pass complete short right to #4 B.Eskildsen caught at BUF26, for 13 yards to the BUF25 (#0 K.Blackwell), 1ST DOWN
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Becht pass complete short right to #4 B.Eskildsen caught at BUF20, for 11 yards to the BUF14 (#6 M.Greer), 1ST DOWN
Shotgun #25 Q.Martin rush left for 2 yards gain to the BUF12 (#17 L.Goodwin)
No Huddle-Shotgun #21 C.Hansen rush left for 12 yards gain to the BUF00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:29, 1ST DOWN #94 R.Barker kick attempt good (H: #38 N.Tiyce, LS: #35 B.Sokach-Minnick)
No Huddle-Shotgun #0 N.Hill rush middle for 2 yards gain to the BUF27 (#8 K.Ebel)
Shotgun #0 N.Hill rush middle for 6 yards gain to the BUF33 (#13 T.Rojas; #1 I.Ezeogu)
Shotgun #0 N.Hill rush middle for 0 yards to the BUF33 fumbled by #0 N.Hill at BUF33 forced by #31 M.Neal recovered by PSU #31 M.Neal at BUF33, End Of Play. The previous play is under automatic review - "Fumble". CALL UPHELD
Shotgun #1 J.Peoples rush middle for 10 yards gain to the BUF23 (#6 M.Greer; #7 J.Keough), 1ST DOWN
No Huddle-Shotgun #7 A.Manske rush right for 3 yards gain to the BUF20 (#52 J.Garbolino), out of bounds
No Huddle-Shotgun #25 Q.Martin rush right for 9 yards gain to the BUF11 (#52 J.Garbolino), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN
Shotgun #1 J.Peoples rush left for 11 yards gain to the BUF00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:14, 1ST DOWN #94 R.Barker kick attempt good (H: #38 N.Tiyce, LS: #35 B.Sokach-Minnick)
No Huddle-Shotgun #24 J.McNeil, Jr. rush middle for 4 yards gain to the BUF29 (#25 A.Tatsch; #9 C.Brezina)
Shotgun #24 J.McNeil, Jr. rush middle for 1 yard gain to the BUF30 (#98 D.Vakalahi; #91 A.Nnodim)
Shotgun #7 J.Wright sacked for loss of 5 yards to the BUF25 (#25 A.Tatsch), fumble by #7 J.Wright recovered by BUF #24 J.McNeil, Jr. at BUF25, End Of Play
#90 E.Stumpf punt 47 yards to the PSU28 #2 Z.Robinson return for loss of 2 yards to the PSU26 (#7 J.Keough)
No Huddle-Shotgun #26 C.Wallace rush middle for 3 yards gain to the PSU29 (#95 S.Smith)
No Huddle-Shotgun #7 A.Manske pass complete short middle to #2 Z.Robinson caught at PSU36, for 7 yards to the PSU36 (#7 J.Keough), 1ST DOWN
No Huddle-Shotgun #26 C.Wallace rush left for 0 yards to the PSU36 (#7 J.Keough; #11 W.Clark)
No Huddle-Shotgun #7 A.Manske pass incomplete deep right to #8 K.Brookins thrown to BUF28 QB hurried by #17 L.Goodwin
No Huddle-Shotgun #7 A.Manske pass incomplete short middle to #14 P.Falzone thrown to PSU45
#38 N.Tiyce punt 42 yards to the BUF22
Shotgun #24 J.McNeil, Jr. rush middle for 0 yards to the BUF22 (#9 C.Brezina; #21 V.Toure)
Shotgun #24 J.McNeil, Jr. rush middle for 5 yards gain to the BUF27 (#89 J.Ford; #39 T.Blanding)
Shotgun #7 J.Wright pass incomplete short right to #5 C.Walker thrown to BUF32 broken up by #21 V.Toure
#90 E.Stumpf punt 44 yards to the PSU29 #2 Z.Robinson return 11 yards to the PSU40 (#7 J.Keough)
No Huddle-Shotgun #25 Q.Martin rush left for 7 yards gain to the PSU47 (#21 B.Ilunga-Bisselele; #22 D.Rodriguez)
No Huddle #9 A.Jackson rush right for 12 yards gain to the BUF41 (#4 R.Davis), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN
No Huddle-Shotgun #25 Q.Martin rush middle for 4 yards gain to the BUF37 (#16 C.Oliver)
No Huddle #7 A.Manske pass complete deep right to #89 F.Furmanek caught at BUF17, for 31 yards to the BUF06 (#23 X.Leonard), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN
No Huddle #7 A.Manske pass incomplete short right to #89 F.Furmanek thrown to BUF05 QB hurried by #21 B.Ilunga-Bisselele
No Huddle-Shotgun #26 C.Wallace rush middle for 2 yards loss to the BUF08 (#17 L.Goodwin)
No Huddle-Shotgun #7 A.Manske pass complete short right to #26 C.Wallace caught at BUF10, for 7 yards to the BUF01 (#7 J.Keough)
No Huddle #26 C.Wallace rush left for 0 yards to the BUF01 (#4 R.Davis), TURNOVER ON DOWNS
No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Wright pass incomplete short right to #6 C.Morrow thrown to BUF10
Shotgun #24 J.McNeil, Jr. rush middle for 7 yards gain to the BUF08 (#35 T.Armstead)
Shotgun #24 J.McNeil, Jr. rush middle for 1 yard gain to the BUF09 (#17 J.Zayas)
#90 E.Stumpf punt 42 yards to the PSU49 #2 Z.Robinson return 2 yards to the BUF49 (#94 N.Wittmer) PENALTY PSU Holding (#32 J.Klosterman) 10 yards from BUF49 to PSU41
No Huddle-Shotgun #26 C.Wallace rush left for 59 yards gain to the BUF00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:31, 1ST DOWN #98 M.Parker kick attempt good (H: #10 C.Barry, LS: #92 A.Dufault)
No Huddle-Shotgun #24 J.McNeil, Jr. rush left for 14 yards gain to the BUF39 (#0 J.Joseph), 1ST DOWN
Shotgun #24 J.McNeil, Jr. rush middle for 4 yards gain to the BUF43 (#28 B.Williams)
Shotgun #24 J.McNeil, Jr. rush middle for 3 yards gain to the BUF46 (#90 L.Andrews; #94 D.Cook)
Shotgun #7 J.Wright pass complete short right to #6 C.Morrow caught at PSU39, for 15 yards to the PSU39 (#20 T.Chatman), 1ST DOWN
Shotgun #24 J.McNeil, Jr. rush middle for 3 yards gain to the PSU36 (#89 J.Ford)
Shotgun #24 J.McNeil, Jr. rush middle for 16 yards gain to the PSU20 (#20 T.Chatman), 1ST DOWN
Shotgun #24 J.McNeil, Jr. rush middle for 12 yards gain to the PSU08 (#28 B.Williams), 1ST DOWN
Shotgun #24 J.McNeil, Jr. rush middle for 2 yards gain to the PSU06 (#9 C.Brezina)
Shotgun #24 J.McNeil, Jr. rush middle for 0 yards to the PSU06 (#90 L.Andrews; #28 B.Williams)
No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Wright pass incomplete short middle thrown to PSU06 QB hurried by #90 L.Andrews PENALTY PSU Face Mask (#24 I.McDaniels) 3 yards from PSU06 to PSU03, 1ST DOWN
No Huddle-Shotgun #24 J.McNeil, Jr. rush middle for 2 yards gain to the PSU01 (#16 D.Nastasi)
Shotgun #24 J.McNeil, Jr. rush middle for 1 yard gain to the PSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 05:01 #31 O.Hautanen kick attempt good (H: #90 E.Stumpf, LS: #48 J.Stoever)
No Huddle-Shotgun #36 A.Glover rush middle for 2 yards gain to the PSU13 (#30 J.Bennett)
No Huddle-Shotgun #10 C.Barry rush right for 1 yard loss to the PSU12 (#52 J.Garbolino; #13 J.Cheshire)
No Huddle #10 C.Barry pass complete short left to #86 B.Mears caught at PSU18, for 12 yards to the PSU24 (#4 R.Davis; #7 J.Keough), 1ST DOWN
Shotgun #26 C.Wallace rush right for 8 yards gain to the PSU32 (#7 J.Keough; #23 X.Leonard)
No Huddle #31 L.Cunningham rush left for 2 yards gain to the PSU34 (#5 M.Crawford; #30 J.Bennett), 1ST DOWN
No Huddle-Shotgun #26 C.Wallace rush left for 7 yards gain to the PSU41 (#7 J.Keough)
No Huddle #26 C.Wallace rush middle for 2 yards gain to the PSU43 (#95 S.Smith)
#36 A.Glover rush middle for 0 yards to the PSU43 (#23 X.Leonard; #59 R.Rogers)