House Prediction
Model Margin
Arkansas State by 5.2
Home Win Probability
Southern Miss 39%
No market line posted for this game.
fitted_v1 · Sep 25, 2026
Line Movement
Hover a snapshot for details
O/U 62.5 → 61.5
| Team | 1Q | 2Q | 3Q | 4Q | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Arkansas State | 6 | 10 | 0 | 7 | 23 |
 Southern Miss | 0 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 13 |
Scoring Timeline
Drive Chart
Box Score
| Statistic | Arkansas State | Southern Miss |
|---|---|---|
| Passing | 17-25 | 18-34 |
| Pass Yards | 170 | 208 |
| Rush Yards | 134 | 81 |
| Total Yards | 304 | 289 |
| Turnovers | 0 | 2 |
| 3rd Down | 4-17 | 5-14 |
| Penalties | 5-50 | 7-53 |
| Possession | 40:08 | 19:52 |
Player Leaders
Player Leaders
Play-by-Play
(14:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 T.Owens rush middle for 5 yards gain to the ASU30 (#25 L.Sylvie; #20 K.Peavy)
(14:23) Shotgun #9 T.Owens pass complete short right to #10 J.Bonelli caught at ASU31, for 2 yards to the ASU32 (#13 M.Haygood)
(13:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 T.Owens pass incomplete short left to #82 E.Burgess thrown to ASU31
PENALTY USM Offside (#0 C.Triplett) 5 yards from ASU32 to ASU37, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY
(13:31) Shotgun #9 T.Owens pass complete short left to #2 C.Cobb caught at USM46, for 24 yards to the USM39 (#20 K.Peavy), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN
(12:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 S.Baggett rush right for 8 yards gain to the USM31 (#31 Z.Keith)
(12:22) Shotgun #9 T.Owens rush middle for 7 yards gain to the USM24 (#20 K.Peavy; #95 J.Johnson), 1ST DOWN
(11:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 K.Clay rush middle for 4 yards gain to the USM20 (#13 M.Haygood)
(11:07) Shotgun #9 T.Owens pass incomplete deep left to #3 H.Summers thrown to USM00 QB hurried by #9 J.Lewis
(11:03) Shotgun #9 T.Owens rush middle for 1 yard loss to the USM21 (#13 M.Haygood) PENALTY USM Face Mask (#13 M.Haygood) 11 yard from USM21 to USM10, 1ST DOWN
(10:38) Shotgun #5 K.Clay rush right for 2 yards loss to the USM12 (#5 N.Cairo; #24 M.Robinson III)
(10:03) Shotgun #9 T.Owens rush middle for 1 yard gain to the USM11 (#35 W.Edison)
(09:24) Shotgun #9 T.Owens pass incomplete short right to #3 H.Summers thrown to USM00 broken up by #22 K.Albert
(09:19) #34 C.Van Andel field goal attempt from 29 yards GOOD (H: #90 D.Vuckovic, LS: #88 R.Smith), clock 09:15
(09:09) Shotgun #18 L.Lyddy pass complete short right to #81 P.Kilgore caught at USM18, for 4 yards to the USM20 (#23 T.Stevens)
(08:41) Shotgun #14 S.Robinson rush right for 3 yards gain to the USM23 (#6 A.McGhee)
(08:09) Shotgun #18 L.Lyddy pass incomplete short middle to #1 M.Sanders thrown to USM33
(08:04) #36 D.Zimmer punt 57 yards to the ASU20 #10 J.Bonelli return 18 yards to the ASU38, out of bounds at ASU38
Shotgun #23 S.Baggett rush middle for 12 yards gain to the ASU50 (#11 A.Wilson), 1ST DOWN
(07:15) Shotgun #23 S.Baggett rush middle for 20 yards gain to the USM38 (#25 L.Sylvie; #2 T.Lassiter), 1ST DOWN
Shotgun #23 S.Baggett rush right for 12 yards gain to the USM38 (#25 L.Sylvie) PENALTY ASU Holding (#68 T.Smith) 10 yards from USM50 to ASU40. NO PLAY
(06:48) Shotgun #23 S.Baggett rush right for 2 yards gain to the ASU42 (#35 W.Edison; #25 L.Sylvie)
Shotgun #23 S.Baggett rush right for 3 yards gain to the ASU43 (#25 L.Sylvie; #35 W.Edison)
Shotgun #9 T.Owens sacked for loss of 0 yards to the ASU42 (#90 J.Stegall, #9 J.Lewis)
Shotgun #9 T.Owens pass incomplete short right to #2 C.Cobb thrown to ASU50 PENALTY ASU Intentional Grounding (#9 T.Owens) 10 yards from ASU43 to ASU33
Shotgun #9 T.Owens sacked for loss of 2 yards to the ASU31 (#7 K.Cyprien, #90 J.Stegall)
#90 D.Vuckovic punt 32 yards to the USM37, out of bounds at USM37 PENALTY USM Roughing The Kicker (#3 M.Johnson) 15 yards from ASU31 to ASU46, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY
Shotgun #9 T.Owens rush left for 12 yards gain to the USM42 (#7 K.Cyprien), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN
Shotgun #9 T.Owens pass complete short middle to #10 J.Bonelli caught at USM36, for 13 yards to the USM29 (#35 W.Edison), 1ST DOWN
Shotgun #23 S.Baggett rush left for 3 yards gain to the USM26 (#35 W.Edison)
Shotgun #5 K.Clay rush right for 3 yards gain to the USM23 (#95 J.Johnson; #31 Z.Keith)
Shotgun #5 K.Clay rush middle for 0 yards to the USM23 (#90 J.Stegall)
#34 C.Van Andel field goal attempt from 40 yards GOOD (H: #90 D.Vuckovic, LS: #88 R.Smith), clock 02:10
PENALTY USM False Start 5 yards from USM25 to USM20. NO PLAY
Shotgun #14 S.Robinson rush middle for 5 yards gain to the USM25 (#4 M.Shahid)
Shotgun #18 L.Lyddy pass incomplete short middle to #88 J.Beck thrown to USM34 QB hurried by #54 R.Reese
Shotgun #18 L.Lyddy pass complete short left to #14 S.Robinson caught at USM28, for 16 yards to the USM41 (#16 J.Drew), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN
Shotgun #14 S.Robinson rush middle for 4 yards gain to the USM45 (#6 A.McGhee)
Shotgun #18 L.Lyddy pass complete short left to #88 J.Beck caught at USM45, for 1 yard to the USM46 (#6 A.McGhee; #9 K.Moore)
Shotgun #18 L.Lyddy pass intercepted by #0 D.Henderson at ASU49, End Of Play
Shotgun #9 T.Owens pass complete short right to #10 J.Bonelli caught at USM35, for 16 yards to the USM35 (#20 K.Peavy), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN
T. Owens pass to J. Bonelli
Shotgun #27 J.Lee rush right for 8 yards gain to the USM27 (#16 J.Martinez), out of bounds
Shotgun #9 T.Owens rush middle for 1 yard gain to the USM26 (#35 W.Edison; #88 D.Gross)
Shotgun #27 J.Lee rush middle for 4 yards gain to the USM22 (#34 M.Williams Jr.; #19 M.Murphy), 1ST DOWN
Shotgun #31 T.Carter rush middle for 6 yards gain to the USM16 (#34 M.Williams Jr.; #19 M.Murphy)
Shotgun #31 T.Carter rush left for 4 yards gain to the USM12 (#35 W.Edison; #13 M.Haygood), 1ST DOWN
Shotgun #9 T.Owens pass complete short right to #23 S.Baggett caught at USM02, for 10 yards to the USM02 (#13 M.Haygood), 1ST DOWN
Shotgun #23 S.Baggett rush middle for 0 yards to the USM02 (#25 L.Sylvie; #24 M.Robinson III)
Shotgun #9 T.Owens pass complete short right to #2 C.Cobb caught at USM02, for 0 yards to the USM02 (#22 K.Albert; #25 L.Sylvie)
Shotgun #5 K.Clay rush middle for 2 yards gain to the USM00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:48 #34 C.Van Andel kick attempt good (H: #90 D.Vuckovic, LS: #88 R.Smith)
Shotgun #18 L.Lyddy pass incomplete short middle to #1 M.Sanders thrown to USM28 broken up by #45 N.Kalume
Shotgun #18 L.Lyddy pass incomplete short left to #11 D.Dalton thrown to USM28
Shotgun #18 L.Lyddy pass complete short middle to #1 M.Sanders caught at USM26, for 5 yards to the USM30 (#5 F.Hamilton; #10 T.Carter)
#36 D.Zimmer punt 38 yards to the ASU32, out of bounds at ASU32
Shotgun #9 T.Owens pass incomplete short left to #3 H.Summers thrown to ASU35
Shotgun #9 T.Owens pass complete short right to #5 K.Clay caught at ASU33, for 1 yard to the ASU33, out of bounds at ASU33
Shotgun #9 T.Owens sacked for loss of 3 yards to the ASU30 (#90 J.Stegall, #7 K.Cyprien)
#90 D.Vuckovic punt 20 yards to the ASU50, out of bounds at ASU50
Shotgun #6 J.Wilder rush middle for 4 yards gain to the ASU46 (#6 A.McGhee; #9 K.Moore)
Shotgun #6 J.Wilder rush middle for 5 yards gain to the ASU41 (#4 M.Shahid; #16 J.Drew)
Shotgun #18 L.Lyddy pass complete deep middle to #3 M.Johnson caught at ASU15, for 25 yards to the ASU16 (#13 K.Williams), 1ST DOWN
Preston Kilgore 16 Yd pass from Landry Lyddy (Creighton Wilbanks Kick)
Shotgun #23 S.Baggett rush right for 10 yards gain to the ASU46, out of bounds at ASU46, 1ST DOWN
Shotgun #23 S.Baggett rush middle for 1 yard loss to the ASU45 (#5 N.Cairo)
Shotgun #9 T.Owens pass complete deep middle to #2 C.Cobb caught at USM35, for 23 yards to the USM32 (#3 J.Brown; #22 K.Albert), 1ST DOWN
Shotgun #9 T.Owens pass incomplete short right to #3 H.Summers thrown to USM32 broken up by #22 K.Albert
Shotgun #23 S.Baggett rush middle for 2 yards gain to the USM30 (#90 J.Stegall)
Shotgun #9 T.Owens pass complete short right to #2 C.Cobb caught at USM27, for 3 yards to the USM27 (#24 M.Robinson III)
C. Van Andel 44 yd FG GOOD
Shotgun #14 S.Robinson rush middle for 5 yards gain to the USM30 (#14 D.Parker; #5 F.Hamilton)
Shotgun #18 L.Lyddy pass complete short left to #1 M.Sanders caught at USM39, for 11 yards to the USM41, out of bounds at USM41, 1ST DOWN
Shotgun #18 L.Lyddy pass complete deep right to #7 K.Saunders caught at ASU38, for 18 yards to the ASU41, out of bounds at ASU41, 1ST DOWN
Shotgun #18 L.Lyddy pass complete short right to #7 K.Saunders caught at ASU41, for 0 yards to the ASU38, out of bounds at ASU38
Shotgun #18 L.Lyddy pass complete short right to #7 K.Saunders caught at ASU38, for 3 yards to the ASU38, out of bounds at ASU38
Shotgun #18 L.Lyddy pass complete short left to #14 S.Robinson caught at ASU45, for 1 yard to the ASU37 (#14 D.Parker)
Shotgun #18 L.Lyddy pass intercepted by #23 T.Stevens at ASU21 #23 T.Stevens return 0 yards to the (Southern Miss.) PENALTY ASU Roughing The Passer 15 yards from ASU37 to ASU22, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY
Shotgun #18 L.Lyddy pass complete short middle to #14 S.Robinson caught at ASU27, for 5 yards loss to the ASU27 (#3 N.Flores; #10 T.Carter)
Shotgun #18 L.Lyddy pass incomplete short middle to #3 M.Johnson thrown to ASU22
Shotgun #14 S.Robinson rush right for 3 yards gain to the ASU24 (#94 J.Johnson; #5 F.Hamilton)
Southern Miss. rush middle for 14 yards loss to the ASU38 fumbled by Southern Miss. at ASU38 recovered by USM #40 C.Wilbanks at ASU38, End Of Play, TURNOVER ON DOWNS
Shotgun #18 L.Lyddy pass complete deep left to #1 M.Sanders caught at ASU36, for 30 yards to the ASU32 (#6 A.McGhee), 1ST DOWN
Shotgun #18 L.Lyddy pass complete short left to #14 S.Robinson caught at ASU33, for 7 yards to the ASU25 (#3 N.Flores), out of bounds
Shotgun #14 S.Robinson rush middle for 8 yards gain to the ASU17 (#4 M.Shahid; #16 J.Drew), 1ST DOWN
Shotgun #14 S.Robinson rush middle for 2 yards gain to the ASU15 (#92 E.Sherman)
PENALTY USM False Start (#1 M.Sanders) 5 yards from ASU15 to ASU20. NO PLAY
Shotgun #14 S.Robinson rush middle for 5 yards gain to the ASU15 (#98 S.Woods; #16 J.Drew)
Shotgun #18 L.Lyddy pass incomplete short left to #14 S.Robinson thrown to ASU17
#40 C.Wilbanks field goal attempt from 34 yards NO GOOD (H: #36 D.Zimmer, LS: #46 L.Beard), clock 12:33
Shotgun #23 S.Baggett rush middle for 2 yards gain to the ASU22 (#7 K.Cyprien)
Shotgun #9 T.Owens pass incomplete short middle to #3 H.Summers thrown to ASU25 broken up by #35 W.Edison
Shotgun #9 T.Owens sacked for loss of 5 yards to the ASU17 (#35 W.Edison)
#90 D.Vuckovic punt 54 yards to the USM29
Shotgun #14 S.Robinson rush middle for 5 yards gain to the USM34 (#8 B.Barnes)
No Huddle-Shotgun #18 L.Lyddy pass incomplete short left to #1 M.Sanders thrown to USM36
Shotgun #14 S.Robinson rush middle for 11 yards gain to the USM45 (#4 M.Shahid), 1ST DOWN
Shotgun #18 L.Lyddy pass incomplete deep right to #7 K.Saunders thrown to ASU27
Shotgun #14 S.Robinson rush middle for 4 yards gain to the USM49 (#23 T.Stevens)
Shotgun #14 S.Robinson rush middle for 1 yard gain to the USM50 (#10 T.Carter)
#36 D.Zimmer punt 36 yards to the ASU14 fair catch by #10 J.Bonelli at ASU14
No Huddle-Shotgun #9 T.Owens pass complete short left to #5 K.Clay caught at ASU18, for 11 yards to the ASU25 (#35 W.Edison), 1ST DOWN
Shotgun #5 K.Clay rush right for 10 yards gain to the ASU35 (#13 M.Haygood), 1ST DOWN, PENALTY ASU Holding 10 yards from ASU35 to ASU25
Shotgun #9 T.Owens pass complete short right to #5 K.Clay caught at ASU21, for 1 yard loss to the ASU24 (#35 W.Edison)
Shotgun #9 T.Owens sacked for loss of 6 yards to the ASU18 (#17 R.Pernas)
Shotgun #5 K.Clay rush right for 7 yards gain to the ASU25 (#22 K.Albert; #13 M.Haygood)
#90 D.Vuckovic punt 29 yards to the USM46 fair catch by #7 K.Saunders at USM46
Shotgun #14 S.Robinson rush middle for 15 yards gain to the ASU39 (#6 A.McGhee; #4 M.Shahid), 1ST DOWN
No Huddle-Shotgun #14 S.Robinson rush middle for 0 yards to the ASU39 (#30 G.Taylor)
No Huddle-Shotgun #18 L.Lyddy pass incomplete short left to #11 D.Dalton thrown to ASU20
No Huddle-Shotgun #18 L.Lyddy pass intercepted by #6 A.McGhee at ASU09, End Of Play
Shotgun #23 S.Baggett rush middle for 0 yards to the ASU09 (#13 M.Haygood; #5 N.Cairo)
Shotgun #23 S.Baggett rush middle for 1 yard gain to the ASU10 (#13 M.Haygood; #7 K.Cyprien)
Shotgun #9 T.Owens rush middle for 7 yards gain to the ASU17 (#35 W.Edison)
#90 D.Vuckovic punt 47 yards to the USM36 #7 K.Saunders return 26 yards to the ASU38 (#58 C.Ambrose)
No Huddle-Shotgun #14 S.Robinson rush middle for 6 yards gain to the ASU32 (#0 D.Henderson)
No Huddle-Shotgun #14 S.Robinson rush middle for 0 yards to the ASU32 (#54 R.Reese)
No Huddle-Shotgun #18 L.Lyddy rush left for 2 yards gain to the ASU30 (#23 T.Stevens)
No Huddle-Shotgun #14 S.Robinson rush middle for 1 yard loss to the ASU31 (#98 S.Woods), TURNOVER ON DOWNS
Shotgun #9 T.Owens pass complete short right to #27 J.Lee caught at ASU48, for 36 yards to the USM33 (#17 R.Pernas; #24 M.Robinson III), 1ST DOWN
No Huddle-Shotgun #9 T.Owens pass incomplete short left to #3 H.Summers thrown to USM25
Shotgun #9 T.Owens pass complete short right to #3 H.Summers caught at USM25, for 9 yards to the USM24 (#22 K.Albert)
Shotgun #31 T.Carter rush middle for 3 yards gain to the USM21 (#90 J.Stegall), 1ST DOWN
No Huddle-Shotgun #31 T.Carter rush middle for 3 yards gain to the USM18 (#90 J.Stegall)
No Huddle-Shotgun #9 T.Owens pass incomplete short right to #11 T.Little thrown to USM02
Shotgun #9 T.Owens pass complete short right to #0 N.Burris caught at USM10, for 9 yards to the USM09 (#24 M.Robinson III), 1ST DOWN
Shotgun #9 T.Owens pass incomplete short right to #3 H.Summers thrown to USM00 PENALTY USM Pass Interference (#19 M.Murphy) 7 yards from USM09 to USM02, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY
Shotgun #31 T.Carter rush middle for 2 yards gain to the USM00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 13:10 #34 C.Van Andel kick attempt good (H: #90 D.Vuckovic, LS: #88 R.Smith)
Shotgun #18 L.Lyddy pass complete short middle to #1 M.Sanders caught at USM30, for 20 yards to the USM45 (#0 D.Henderson), 1ST DOWN
No Huddle-Shotgun #14 S.Robinson rush middle for 3 yards gain to the USM48 (#14 D.Parker)
PENALTY USM False Start 5 yards from USM48 to USM43. NO PLAY
No Huddle-Shotgun #18 L.Lyddy pass incomplete short middle to #7 K.Saunders thrown to USM48 broken up by #16 J.Drew
No Huddle-Shotgun #18 L.Lyddy pass complete short right to #1 M.Sanders caught at ASU39, for 18 yards to the ASU39 (#5 F.Hamilton), 1ST DOWN
No Huddle-Shotgun #18 L.Lyddy pass complete short middle to #14 S.Robinson caught at ASU25, for 14 yards to the ASU25 (#6 A.McGhee), 1ST DOWN
No Huddle-Shotgun #14 S.Robinson rush middle for 3 yards gain to the ASU22 (#30 G.Taylor)
No Huddle-Shotgun #18 L.Lyddy pass complete short left to #8 A.Little caught at ASU04, for 20 yards to the ASU02 (#5 F.Hamilton), 1ST DOWN, PENALTY ASU Illegal Substitution declined
No Huddle-Shotgun #18 L.Lyddy pass incomplete short right to #88 J.Beck thrown to ASU01 broken up by #18 M.Weedon
No Huddle-Shotgun #14 S.Robinson rush middle for 1 yard gain to the ASU01 (#91 T.Coleman). The previous play is under automatic review - "Short of the goal line". CALL OVERTURNED. (Original Play: No Huddle-Shotgun #14 S.Robinson rush middle for 2 yards gain to the ASU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:27)
No Huddle-Shotgun #14 S.Robinson rush middle for 1 yard gain to the ASU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:02 #18 L.Lyddy rush attempt failed
No Huddle-Shotgun #9 T.Owens pass complete short left to #3 H.Summers caught at ASU32, for 5 yards to the ASU32 (#19 M.Murphy)
No Huddle-Shotgun #23 S.Baggett rush middle for 1 yard loss to the ASU31 (#13 M.Haygood; #41 W.Smith)
Shotgun #9 T.Owens rush middle for 4 yards gain to the ASU35 (#7 K.Cyprien; #99 C.Hoyte)
PENALTY ASU False Start (#28 D.Demery) 5 yards from ASU35 to ASU30. NO PLAY
#90 D.Vuckovic punt 38 yards to the USM32 #7 K.Saunders return 5 yards to the USM37 (#25 K.Denny). #15 B.Greil injured on the play
Shotgun #18 L.Lyddy pass complete short middle to #1 M.Sanders caught at USM40, for 4 yards to the USM41 (#16 J.Drew)
Shotgun #18 L.Lyddy pass incomplete deep middle to #1 M.Sanders thrown to ASU28
Shotgun #18 L.Lyddy pass incomplete short right to #7 K.Saunders thrown to ASU49 broken up by #3 N.Flores
Shotgun #18 L.Lyddy pass incomplete deep middle to #11 D.Dalton thrown to ASU28, TURNOVER ON DOWNS
Shotgun #5 K.Clay rush middle for 2 yards gain to the USM39 (#17 R.Pernas)
Shotgun #9 T.Owens rush middle for 3 yards gain to the USM36 (#24 M.Robinson III; #26 B.Taylor)
Shotgun #5 K.Clay rush middle for 2 yards gain to the USM34 (#35 W.Edison)
#9 T.Owens pass complete short right to #82 E.Burgess caught at USM30, for 3 yards to the USM31, out of bounds at USM31, 1ST DOWN
Shotgun #31 T.Carter rush middle for 7 yards gain to the USM24 (#1 C.Lewis)
Shotgun #31 T.Carter rush right for 2 yards loss to the USM26 (#13 M.Haygood). #35 W.Edison injured on the play
Shotgun #23 S.Baggett rush middle for 2 yards gain to the USM24 (#90 J.Stegall)
Shotgun #9 T.Owens pass complete short left to #10 J.Bonelli caught at USM19, for 6 yards to the USM18, out of bounds at USM18, 1ST DOWN
Shotgun #5 K.Clay rush middle for 2 yards gain to the USM16 (#24 M.Robinson III)
Shotgun #23 S.Baggett rush left for 4 yards gain to the USM12 (#13 M.Haygood; #24 M.Robinson III)
Shotgun #23 S.Baggett rush middle for 3 yards gain to the USM09 (#24 M.Robinson III)
#9 T.Owens rush middle for 2 yards gain to the USM07 (#13 M.Haygood), 1ST DOWN
Kneel down by #9 T.Owens at USM09 for loss of 2 yards
Kneel down by #9 T.Owens at USM11 for loss of 2 yards