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← Back to GamesSep 26, 2026 • Week 4

House Prediction

Model Margin

Toledo by 5.6

Home Win Probability

Toledo 71%

Market (Bovada)

Toledo -3

Edge: Toledo -3 (2.6 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 25, 2026

Line Movement

-2.7-3.5-4.3-5.1-5.8Sep 22Sep 23Sep 24Sep 25Model -5.6

Hover a snapshot for details

BovadaDraftKings

O/U 52.5 → 51.5

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
San Diego StateSan Diego State
306716
ToledoToledo
71017741

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-37-310-317-327-334-941-941-16
ToledoSan Diego State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20SDSTOLSDSTOLSDSTOLSDSTOLSDSTOLSDSTOLSDSTOLSDSTOLSDSTOLSDSSDSTOLSDSTOLSDSTOLFG10p·68ydPUNT7p·28ydPUNT3p·-5ydTD3p·45ydPUNT3p·8ydDOWNS12p·56ydPUNT3p·7ydPUNT6p·18ydPUNT3p·0ydFG11p·40ydPUNT4p·16ydTD3p·88ydEND5p·9ydTD1p·38ydPUNT3p·8ydFG8p·54ydTO2p·8ydMISS4p·-13ydTD5p·39ydTD15p·78ydTD7p·73ydDOWNS4p·8ydDOWNS7p·20ydTD9p·65ydEND4p·12yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing San Diego State and Toledo
StatisticSan Diego StateToledo
Passing24-3716-22
Pass Yards248284
Rush Yards48210
Total Yards296494
Turnovers20
3rd Down3-148-15
Penalties4-3510-83
Possession26:3533:25

Player Leaders

Player stats unavailable for this game.

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.93

(14:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Denegal pass complete short middle to #15 J.Ford caught at SDSU31, for 11 yards to the SDSU36 (#17 K.Hutchinson), 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

(14:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Denegal pass complete short left to #15 J.Ford caught at SDSU40, for 5 yards to the SDSU41 (#17 K.Hutchinson)

2nd & 5Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.20

(14:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Denegal pass complete short left to #15 J.Ford caught at SDSU46, for 9 yards to the SDSU50 (#1 C.Jones; #44 I.Zay), 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

(14:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Denegal pass incomplete short left to #15 J.Ford thrown to SDSU46 broken up by #1 C.Jones

2nd & 10Penalty+5 yds

PENALTY SDSU False Start (#78 J.Borjon) 5 yards from SDSU50 to SDSU45. NO PLAY

2nd & 15Penalty+5 yds

(14:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Denegal pass incomplete deep left to #3 N.Acevedo thrown to TOLEDO06 PENALTY TOLEDO Offside (#90 Z.Johnson) 5 yards from SDSU45 to SDSU50. NO PLAY

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.02

(13:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 L.Sutton rush middle for 0 yards to the SDSU50 (#44 I.Zay; #99 C.Camese)

3rd & 10Pass Reception+38 ydsPPA +3.45

(13:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Denegal pass complete short middle to #14 D.Brown caught at TOLEDO31, for 38 yards to the TOLEDO12 (#4 D.Watkins; #7 A.Smith), 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.17

(13:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Denegal pass complete short left to #24 J.Napier caught at TOLEDO15, for 2 yards to the TOLEDO10 (#1 C.Jones)

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

(12:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 L.Sutton rush left for 3 yards gain to the TOLEDO07 (#1 C.Jones)

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

(12:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Denegal pass incomplete short middle to #17 J.Bostick thrown to TOLEDO00

4th & 5Field Goal Good+25 yds

(11:57) #96 C.DiLeva field goal attempt from 25 yards GOOD (H: #89 T.Dorje, LS: #64 C.Poulson), clock 11:59

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.38

(11:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Walendzak rush middle for 13 yards gain to the TOLEDO16 (#29 J.Hunter; #20 J.McLaughlin), 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.46

(11:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Richter pass complete short left to #88 J.Newell caught at TOLEDO15, for 0 yards to the TOLEDO16 (#29 J.Hunter)

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.47

(11:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Walendzak rush right for 9 yards gain to the TOLEDO25 (#33 B.Nassar)

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.64

(10:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Walendzak rush middle for 2 yards gain to the TOLEDO27 (#95 G.Lightfoot), 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

(10:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Walendzak rush middle for 4 yards gain to the TOLEDO31 (#91 A.Comier; #29 J.Hunter)

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

(09:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Richter pass incomplete deep right to #5 T.Crosby Jr. thrown to SDSU44

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

(09:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Richter pass incomplete short left to #19 D.Barnett Jr. thrown to TOLEDO41

4th & 6Punt0 yds

(09:32) #47 M.Meincke punt 43 yards to the SDSU26 fair catch by #3 N.Acevedo at SDSU26

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.61

(09:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 J.Kinnard rush middle for 1 yard gain to the SDSU27 (#99 C.Camese; #0 A.Zock)

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

(09:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 J.Kinnard rush right for 4 yards gain to the SDSU31 (#99 C.Camese; #7 A.Smith)

3rd & 5Penalty+10 yds

(08:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Denegal pass complete short left to #15 J.Ford caught at SDSU35, for 4 yards to the SDSU35, End Of Play PENALTY SDSU Holding (#78 J.Borjon) 10 yards from SDSU31 to SDSU21. NO PLAY

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.07

(08:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Denegal pass incomplete short middle to #14 D.Brown thrown to SDSU34 broken up by #23 I.Petite

4th & 15Punt0 yds

(08:10) #89 T.Dorje punt 24 yards to the SDSU45, out of bounds at SDSU45

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.73

(08:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 C.Miller rush middle for 8 yards gain to the SDSU37 (#29 J.Hunter)

2nd & 2Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.14

(07:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Richter pass complete short left to #22 C.Miller caught at SDSU38, for 18 yards to the SDSU19 (#20 J.McLaughlin), 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+19 ydsPPA +2.60

(07:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Richter pass complete short middle to #3 A.Dabbs caught at SDSU01, for 19 yards to the SDSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:09, 1ST DOWN #93 R.Griffith kick attempt good (H: #39 A.Ruggles, LS: #59 M.Allen)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

(07:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 L.Sutton rush middle for 1 yard gain to the SDSU26 (#10 J.Fox; #96 N.Chandler)

2nd & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.56

(06:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Denegal pass complete short left to #17 J.Bostick caught at SDSU34, for 8 yards to the SDSU34 (#25 T.Russell)

3rd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

(06:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 J.Kinnard rush middle for 1 yard loss to the SDSU33 (#22 N.Thompson). #21 J.Kinnard injured on the play

4th & 2Punt0 yds

(05:36) #89 T.Dorje punt 47 yards to the TOLEDO20 fair catch by #12 B.Hammer at TOLEDO20

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

(05:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Walendzak rush middle for 5 yards gain to the TOLEDO25 (#0 S.Hala; #20 J.McLaughlin)

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.51

(05:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Walendzak rush left for 1 yard gain to the TOLEDO26 (#21 T.Letuli; #30 J.Thomeson)

3rd & 4Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.05

(04:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Richter pass complete short middle to #43 S.Lee caught at TOLEDO32, for 14 yards to the TOLEDO40 (#29 J.Hunter; #27 M.Lindsay), 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

(04:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Walendzak rush middle for 4 yards gain to the TOLEDO44 (#29 J.Hunter)

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

(03:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Richter pass incomplete short middle to #19 D.Barnett Jr. thrown to SDSU38

3rd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.40

(03:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Richter pass complete short left to #1 R.Bond caught at SDSU47, for 9 yards to the SDSU47 (#21 T.Letuli), 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.01

(03:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Richter pass complete short left to #3 A.Dabbs caught at SDSU50, for 9 yards to the SDSU38 (#91 A.Comier)

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.30

(02:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Walendzak rush middle for 5 yards gain to the SDSU33 (#33 B.Nassar), 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

(02:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Walendzak rush left for 3 yards gain to the SDSU30 (#21 T.Letuli; #18 K.Wallin)

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

(01:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Walendzak rush middle for 3 yards gain to the SDSU27 (#27 M.Lindsay; #18 K.Wallin)

3rd & 4Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.26

(00:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Richter pass complete short right to #8 C.Walendzak caught at SDSU32, for 3 yards to the SDSU24 (#30 J.Thomeson)

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -7.73

(00:17) No Huddle #8 C.Walendzak rush middle for 0 yards to the SDSU24 (#30 J.Thomeson), TURNOVER ON DOWNS

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

(00:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Denegal pass incomplete short left to #17 J.Bostick thrown to SDSU33 broken up by #7 A.Smith

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

(00:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Denegal pass incomplete deep left to #17 J.Bostick thrown to TOLEDO44

3rd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.14

(00:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Denegal pass complete short left to #16 W.Cianfrini caught at SDSU31, for 7 yards to the SDSU31 (#25 T.Russell)

4th & 3Punt Return+11 yds

(15:00) #89 T.Dorje punt 53 yards to the TOLEDO16 #12 B.Hammer return 11 yards to the TOLEDO27 (#22 M.Garrison)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.35

(14:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 C.Miller rush right for 6 yards gain to the TOLEDO33 (#35 T.Lave)

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.93

(14:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 C.Miller rush middle for 0 yards to the TOLEDO33 (#30 J.Thomeson)

3rd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.56

(13:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Richter pass complete short left to #12 B.Hammer caught at TOLEDO38, for 5 yards to the TOLEDO38 (#30 J.Thomeson), 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

(13:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 C.Miller rush middle for 5 yards gain to the TOLEDO43 (#95 G.Lightfoot; #42 C.Cooper)

2nd & 5Penalty+10 yds

(12:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Richter rush right for 3 yards gain to the TOLEDO46 (#21 T.Letuli) PENALTY TOLEDO Holding (#55 I.Traore) 10 yards from TOLEDO43 to TOLEDO33. NO PLAY

2nd & 15Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.43

(12:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 C.Miller rush middle for 8 yards gain to the TOLEDO41 (#21 T.Letuli)

3rd & 7Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

(12:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Richter pass complete short right to #12 B.Hammer caught at TOLEDO45, for 4 yards to the TOLEDO45 (#24 J.Cox)

4th & 3Punt0 yds

(11:18) #47 M.Meincke punt 38 yards to the SDSU17 fair catch by #3 N.Acevedo at SDSU17

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.41

(11:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 L.Sutton rush middle for 1 yard gain to the SDSU18 (#44 I.Zay)

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.22

(10:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 L.Sutton rush middle for 1 yard gain to the SDSU19 (#7 A.Smith; #44 I.Zay)

3rd & 8Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.17

(10:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Denegal sacked for loss of 2 yards to the SDSU17 (#44 I.Zay)

4th & 10Punt0 yds

(09:42) #89 T.Dorje punt 43 yards to the TOLEDO40 fair catch by #12 B.Hammer at TOLEDO40

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

(09:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 A.Ison rush middle for 4 yards gain to the TOLEDO44 (#16 J.Whitmore; #21 T.Letuli)

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

(09:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 A.Ison rush right for 4 yards gain to the TOLEDO48 (#20 J.McLaughlin; #11 K.Clay)

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.40

(08:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 A.Ison rush middle for 4 yards gain to the SDSU48 (#24 J.Cox), 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Rush-6 ydsPPA -2.36

(08:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 T.Crosby Jr. rush left for 6 yards loss to the TOLEDO46 (#24 J.Cox; #6 M.Finau)

2nd & 16Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

(07:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 A.Ison rush middle for 4 yards gain to the TOLEDO50 (#0 S.Hala; #11 K.Clay)

3rd & 12Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.09

(06:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Richter pass complete short middle to #8 C.Walendzak caught at SDSU48, for 10 yards to the SDSU40 (#0 S.Hala) PENALTY SDSU Personal Foul (#11 K.Clay) 15 yards from SDSU40 to SDSU25, 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

(06:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 A.Ison rush middle for 8 yards gain (6) to the SDSU17 (#27 M.Lindsay; #20 J.McLaughlin) PENALTY TOLEDO Holding (#55 I.Traore) 10 yards from SDSU19 to SDSU29

1st & 14Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

(05:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 A.Ison rush middle for 5 yards gain to the SDSU24 (#24 J.Cox). #50 L.Rector injured on the play

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

(05:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 A.Ison rush left for 4 yards gain to the SDSU20 (#29 J.Hunter)

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

(05:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Richter pass incomplete deep right to #3 A.Dabbs thrown to SDSU00

4th & 5Field Goal Good+38 yds

(04:43) #93 R.Griffith field goal attempt from 38 yards GOOD (H: #39 A.Ruggles, LS: #59 M.Allen), clock 04:43

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.68

(04:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Denegal rush left for 18 yards gain to the SDSU50 (#0 A.Zock), 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.11

(04:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 L.Sutton rush middle for 0 yards to the SDSU50 (#7 A.Smith)

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

(03:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Denegal pass incomplete short right to #12 J.Hawkins thrown to TOLEDO37. The previous play is under automatic review - "Incomplete pass". CALL UPHELD

3rd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.90

(03:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Denegal rush middle for 2 yards loss to the SDSU48 (#90 Z.Johnson)

4th & 12Punt0 yds

(02:42) #89 T.Dorje punt 40 yards to the TOLEDO12 fair catch by #12 B.Hammer at TOLEDO12

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

(02:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 C.Miller rush middle for 4 yards gain to the TOLEDO16 (#35 T.Lave; #95 G.Lightfoot)

2nd & 6Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.51

(02:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 C.Miller rush right for 6 yards gain to the TOLEDO22 (#0 S.Hala), 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+78 ydsPPA +6.27

(01:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Richter pass complete deep middle to #12 B.Hammer caught at SDSU42, for 78 yards to the SDSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:44, 1ST DOWN #93 R.Griffith kick attempt good (H: #39 A.Ruggles, LS: #59 M.Allen)

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.69

(01:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Denegal pass complete short left to #15 J.Ford caught at SDSU36, for 7 yards to the SDSU39 (#1 C.Jones)

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.20

(01:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Denegal pass incomplete short left to #3 N.Acevedo thrown to SDSU48

3rd & 3Penalty+5 yds

(01:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Denegal pass incomplete short left to #3 N.Acevedo thrown to TOLEDO43 PENALTY TOLEDO Offside (#95 W.Peart II) 5 yards from SDSU39 to SDSU44, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.89

(01:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Denegal pass complete short right to #3 N.Acevedo caught at TOLEDO45, for 11 yards to the TOLEDO45 (#4 D.Watkins), 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Sack-15 ydsPPA -3.50

(01:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Denegal sacked for loss of 15 yards to the SDSU40 (#0 A.Zock)

2nd & 25Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.20

(00:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 L.Sutton rush middle for 1 yard gain to the SDSU41 (#10 J.Fox)

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+38 ydsPPA +3.09

(14:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Richter pass complete deep right to #12 B.Hammer caught at SDSU06, for 38 yards to the SDSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 14:53, 1ST DOWN #93 R.Griffith kick attempt good (H: #39 A.Ruggles, LS: #59 M.Allen)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

(14:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 L.Sutton rush left for 4 yards gain to the SDSU31 (#7 A.Smith)

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

(14:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Denegal rush right for 4 yards gain to the SDSU35 (#10 J.Fox). #7 L.Sutton injured on the play

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.66

(14:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Denegal rush middle for 0 yards to the SDSU35 (#44 I.Zay; #90 Z.Johnson)

4th & 2Punt0 yds

(13:28) #89 T.Dorje punt 50 yards to the TOLEDO15 fair catch by #12 B.Hammer at TOLEDO15

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.50

(13:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Walendzak rush right for 1 yard loss to the TOLEDO14 (#11 K.Clay; #6 M.Finau)

2nd & 11Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +3.20

(12:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Richter pass complete short right to #19 D.Barnett Jr. caught at TOLEDO30, for 35 yards to the TOLEDO49 (#16 J.Whitmore), 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.12

(12:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Walendzak rush middle for 9 yards gain to the SDSU42 (#20 J.McLaughlin)

2nd & 1Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.39

(12:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Richter pass complete short left to #12 B.Hammer caught at SDSU46, for 2 yards to the SDSU40 (#29 J.Hunter), 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.27

(11:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Richter pass complete short left to #12 B.Hammer caught at SDSU44, for 6 yards to the SDSU34 (#20 J.McLaughlin)

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

(11:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Walendzak rush middle for 2 yards gain to the SDSU32 (#30 J.Thomeson; #95 G.Lightfoot)

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.73

(10:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Walendzak rush middle for 1 yard gain to the SDSU31 (#21 T.Letuli; #95 G.Lightfoot)

4th & 1Field Goal Good+49 yds

(09:53) #93 R.Griffith field goal attempt from 49 yards GOOD (H: #39 A.Ruggles, LS: #59 M.Allen), clock 09:55

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.70

(09:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Denegal pass complete short middle to #14 D.Brown caught at SDSU25, for 0 yards to the SDSU25 (#44 I.Zay)

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+8 yds

(09:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #29 J.Thomas rush middle for 8 yards gain to the SDSU33 fumbled by #29 J.Thomas at SDSU29 forced by #22 N.Thompson recovered by TOLEDO #10 J.Fox at SDSU33 #10 J.Fox return 20 yards to the SDSU13 (#88 R.Wolfer)

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

(08:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 C.Miller rush middle for 3 yards gain to the SDSU10 (#95 G.Lightfoot) PENALTY TOLEDO Personal Foul (#43 S.Lee) 15 yards from SDSU13 to SDSU28. NO PLAY

1st & 25Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.46

(08:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 C.Miller rush middle for 2 yards gain to the SDSU26 (#95 G.Lightfoot)

2nd & 23Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

(08:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Richter pass incomplete deep right to #3 A.Dabbs thrown to SDSU03 broken up by #30 J.Thomeson

3rd & 23Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.92

(08:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Richter pass incomplete short middle to #5 T.Crosby Jr. thrown to SDSU11

4th & 23Field Goal Missed+43 yds

(08:15) #93 R.Griffith field goal attempt from 43 yards NO GOOD (H: #39 A.Ruggles, LS: #59 M.Allen), clock 08:13

1st & 10Pass Reception-11 ydsPPA -1.30

(08:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 J.Napier pass complete short left to #23 J.Lucas caught at SDSU15, for 11 yards loss to the SDSU15, End Of Play

2nd & 21Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.11

(07:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Denegal pass complete short left to #21 J.Kinnard caught at SDSU24, for 9 yards to the SDSU24 (#7 A.Smith; #25 T.Russell)

3rd & 12Pass Reception+41 ydsPPA +4.23

(07:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Denegal pass complete deep right to #17 J.Bostick caught at TOLEDO35, for 41 yards to the TOLEDO35, End Of Play, 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

(06:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Denegal pass incomplete deep left to #17 J.Bostick thrown to TOLEDO14

2nd & 10Interception Return Touchdown+67 ydsPPA -10.34

(06:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Denegal pass intercepted by #44 I.Zay at TOLEDO33 #44 I.Zay return 67 yards to the SDSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 06:34 #93 R.Griffith kick attempt good (H: #39 A.Ruggles, LS: #59 M.Allen)

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.71

(06:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Denegal pass complete short left to #17 J.Bostick caught at SDSU34, for 20 yards to the SDSU42 (#10 J.Fox), 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

(05:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Denegal rush right for 2 yards gain to the SDSU44 (#2 E.Odinjor)

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

(05:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 J.Napier rush right for 3 yards gain to the SDSU47 (#7 A.Smith)

3rd & 5Penalty+5 yds

PENALTY SDSU False Start (#16 W.Cianfrini) 5 yards from SDSU47 to SDSU42. NO PLAY

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

(04:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Denegal pass incomplete short right to #14 D.Brown thrown to TOLEDO43

4th & 10Penalty+13 yds

(04:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Denegal pass incomplete short middle to #14 D.Brown thrown to TOLEDO45, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY TOLEDO Pass Interference (#11 H.Miller) 13 yards from SDSU42 to TOLEDO45, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.12

(04:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Denegal pass complete short left to #14 D.Brown caught at SDSU41, for 4 yards to the TOLEDO41, End Of Play

2nd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.36

(04:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Denegal pass complete short right to #14 D.Brown caught at TOLEDO32, for 9 yards to the TOLEDO32 (#7 A.Smith; #22 N.Thompson), 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Fumble+2 ydsPPA -0.32

(03:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 J.Lucas rush middle for 2 yards gain to the TOLEDO30 (#4 D.Watkins)

2nd & 8Penalty+5 yds

PENALTY TOLEDO Offside (#99 C.Camese) 5 yards from TOLEDO30 to TOLEDO25. NO PLAY

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

(03:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 J.Lucas rush middle for 3 yards gain to the TOLEDO22 (#22 N.Thompson), 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

(02:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Denegal pass complete short right to #24 J.Napier caught at TOLEDO21, for 5 yards to the TOLEDO17 (#23 I.Petite; #4 D.Watkins)

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

(02:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 J.Lucas rush middle for 3 yards gain to the TOLEDO14 (#4 D.Watkins; #96 N.Chandler)

3rd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

(01:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 J.Lucas rush middle for 6 yards gain to the TOLEDO08 (#5 D.Ollison II), 1ST DOWN

1st & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

(01:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Denegal pass incomplete short right to #14 D.Brown thrown to TOLEDO00 broken up by #7 A.Smith

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

(01:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Denegal pass incomplete short left to #3 N.Acevedo thrown to TOLEDO01 QB hurried by #44 I.Zay

3rd & 8Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.57

(01:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Denegal sacked for loss of 3 yards to the TOLEDO11 (#95 W.Peart II, #7 A.Smith)

4th & 11Passing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +3.64

(00:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Denegal pass complete short left to #88 R.Wolfer caught at TOLEDO00, for 11 yards to the TOLEDO00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:20 #88 R.Wolfer rush attempt failed

1st & 10Rush+27 ydsPPA +2.39

(00:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 A.Ison rush middle for 27 yards gain to the SDSU46 (#23 C.Mamaril), 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

(14:47) No Huddle #4 A.Ison rush middle for 5 yards gain to the SDSU41 (#0 S.Hala; #44 N.Henrich)

2nd & 5Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +1.25

(14:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Richter pass complete deep left to #3 A.Dabbs caught at SDSU12, for 34 yards to the SDSU07 (#24 J.Cox), 1ST DOWN

1st & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

(13:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 A.Ison rush right for 7 yards gain (4) to the SDSU00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 13:32 PENALTY TOLEDO Holding (#19 D.Barnett Jr.) 10 yards from SDSU03 to SDSU13

1st & 13Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

(13:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 A.Ison rush middle for 5 yards gain to the SDSU08 (#35 T.Lave; #0 S.Hala)

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.22

(12:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 A.Ison rush middle for 7 yards gain to the SDSU01 (#0 S.Hala; #14 I.Green)

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

(12:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Walendzak rush middle for 1 yard gain to the SDSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:11 #93 R.Griffith kick attempt good (H: #39 A.Ruggles, LS: #59 M.Allen)

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.37

(12:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Denegal pass complete short right to #12 J.Hawkins caught at TOLEDO49, for 6 yards to the TOLEDO47 (#23 I.Petite)

2nd & 4Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.42

(11:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Denegal pass complete short right to #15 J.Ford caught at TOLEDO44, for 3 yards to the TOLEDO44 (#7 A.Smith)

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.20

(11:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 J.Lucas rush middle for 0 yards to the TOLEDO44 (#0 A.Zock; #44 I.Zay)

4th & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -4.39

(10:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 J.Lucas rush middle for 1 yard loss to the TOLEDO45 (#7 A.Smith; #22 N.Thompson), TURNOVER ON DOWNS

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.38

(10:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 N.Sanders rush middle for 1 yard loss to the TOLEDO44 (#44 N.Henrich)

2nd & 11Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

(09:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 N.Sanders rush right for 5 yards gain to the TOLEDO49 (#13 P.Williams)

3rd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +2.18

(09:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Robinson rush middle for 7 yards gain to the SDSU44, End Of Play, 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

PENALTY TOLEDO False Start (#69 D.Johnson) 5 yards from SDSU44 to SDSU49. NO PLAY

1st & 15Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.13

(08:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 A.Ison rush middle for 10 yards gain to the SDSU39 (#35 T.Lave; #14 I.Green)

2nd & 5Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.45

(07:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 A.Ison rush right for 2 yards loss to the SDSU41 (#13 P.Williams)

3rd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

(06:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 A.Ison rush middle for 2 yards gain to the SDSU39 (#0 S.Hala)

4th & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -3.37

(05:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 W.Moses rush right for 4 yards gain to the SDSU35 (#21 T.Letuli), TURNOVER ON DOWNS

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.97

(05:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 D.Trudeau pass complete short right to #19 J.Lua caught at SDSU36, for 10 yards to the SDSU45 (#11 H.Miller), 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

(05:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 D.Trudeau pass incomplete deep middle to #16 W.Cianfrini thrown to TOLEDO22

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

(05:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 J.Lucas rush middle for 2 yards gain to the SDSU47 (#95 W.Peart II)

3rd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

(04:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 D.Trudeau rush middle for 2 yards gain to the SDSU49 (#98 M.Fils-Aime)

4th & 6Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +3.71

(04:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 D.Trudeau pass complete deep right to #18 D.Davis caught at TOLEDO27, for 24 yards to the TOLEDO27 (#8 K.Thomas), 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

(03:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 D.Trudeau pass complete short right to #12 J.Hawkins caught at TOLEDO22, for 5 yards to the TOLEDO22 (#5 D.Ollison II)

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.28

(03:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 J.Lucas rush middle for 2 yards gain to the TOLEDO20 (#22 N.Thompson)

3rd & 3Penalty+5 yds

(03:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 D.Trudeau pass incomplete deep right to #12 J.Hawkins thrown to TOLEDO00 PENALTY TOLEDO Offside (#95 W.Peart II) 5 yards from TOLEDO20 to TOLEDO15, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

(03:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 J.Lucas rush middle for 1 yard gain to the TOLEDO14 (#21 B.Sahakian; #19 I.Prince)

2nd & 9Passing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.81

(02:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 D.Trudeau pass complete short middle to #12 J.Hawkins caught at TOLEDO00, for 14 yards to the TOLEDO00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:38, 1ST DOWN #96 C.DiLeva kick attempt good (H: #93 C.Cowgill, LS: #64 C.Poulson)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

(02:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 N.Sanders rush middle for 3 yards gain to the TOLEDO28 (#41 A.Lash)

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

(02:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 N.Sanders rush middle for 3 yards gain to the TOLEDO31 (#13 P.Williams)

3rd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.47

(01:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 N.Sanders rush middle for 5 yards gain to the TOLEDO36 (#42 C.Cooper), 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

(00:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 N.Sanders rush middle for 1 yard gain to the TOLEDO37 (#42 C.Cooper)

Situational Analysis

San Diego State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
—
—
36%
28 plays
—
2nd
0%
2 plays
33%
6 plays
17%
12 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
25%
4 plays
0%
1 play
29%
7 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play
100%
1 play
—
100%
1 play

Toledo

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
—
—
54%
26 plays
75%
4 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
22%
9 plays
40%
5 plays
60%
5 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
63%
8 plays
0%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
—
—