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← Back to GamesOct 3, 2026 • Week 5
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Louisville by 4.2

Home Win Probability

NC State 38%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Sep 25, 2026

Line Movement

+6.3+5.4+4.5+3.6+2.7Sep 28Sep 29Sep 30Oct 3Model +4.2

Hover a snapshot for details

BovadaDraftKings

O/U 58.5 → 57.5

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
LouisvilleLouisville
0714728
NC StateNC State
31015331

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014283-010-013-720-720-1428-2131-28
NC StateLouisville

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20LOUNSLOUNSLOUNSLOUNSLOUNSNSLOUNSLOUNSLOUNSLOUNSLOUNSLOUNSPUNT5p·26ydFG12p·52ydTO4p·59ydTD14p·79ydDOWNS11p·60ydPUNT3p·-1ydTD3p·49ydFG9p·63ydPUNT6p·24ydEND2p·0ydTD9p·75ydTD6p·80ydPUNT4p·14ydTO2p·7ydTD5p·41ydTD9p·77ydTO6p·67ydTD2p·80ydPUNT3p·8ydTO4p·63ydFG10p·76ydPUNT3p·-10ydEND10p·25yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Louisville and NC State
StatisticLouisvilleNC State
Passing21-3025-41
Pass Yards254373
Rush Yards231120
Total Yards485493
Turnovers31
3rd Down4-99-17
Penalties3-407-64
Possession22:4037:20

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Louisville
passing
Lincoln Kienholz
21/30, 254 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Isaac Brown
9 CAR, 125 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Tre Richardson
8 REC, 117 YDS, 1 TD
defense
NC State
passing
CJ Bailey
24/40, 373 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Davion Gause
21 CAR, 69 YDS
receiving
Joshisa Trader
5 REC, 92 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.70

(14:59) Shotgun #3 L.Kienholz pass complete short right to #1 I.Brown caught at LOU25, for 0 yards to the LOU25 QB hurried by #22 J.Vick (#0 P.Aguirre)

2nd & 10Rush+24 ydsPPA +2.86

(14:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 I.Brown rush middle for 24 yards gain to the LOU49 (#3 T.Teasdell; #7 B.Nelson II), 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.35

(14:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 L.Kienholz pass complete short left to #2 T.Hurry caught at NCSU46, for 6 yards to the NCSU45 (#14 J.Sensabaugh)

2nd & 4Fumble Recovery (Own)-6 ydsPPA -2.49

(13:46) Shotgun Louisville rush middle for 6 yards loss to the LOU49 fumbled by Louisville at LOU49 recovered by LOU #3 L.Kienholz at LOU49, End Of Play

3rd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.43

(13:10) Shotgun #3 L.Kienholz pass complete short middle to #88 J.Skinner caught at NCSU49, for 2 yards to the NCSU49 (#7 B.Nelson II)

4th & 8Punt Return+7 yds

(12:34) #91 N.Hayes punt 36 yards to the NCSU13 #0 V.Snow return 7 yards to the NCSU20 (#54 D.Kegebein; #27 M.Norwood)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

(12:26) Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass incomplete short right to #0 V.Snow thrown to NCSU27

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.55

(12:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Scott rush middle for 9 yards gain to the NCSU29 (#13 T.Holloway; #10 K.Beasley)

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.70

(11:39) Shotgun #10 W.Wilson rush middle for 1 yard gain to the NCSU30 (#11 T.Capers), 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

(11:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Scott rush middle for 1 yard gain to the NCSU31 (#50 C.Lubin; #23 B.Perry)

2nd & 9Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.93

(10:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete deep left to #86 H.Provience caught at LOU45, for 24 yards to the LOU45, End Of Play, 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.23

(10:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Scott rush middle for 1 yard loss to the LOU46 (#99 J.Smith II)

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

(09:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass incomplete short middle to #8 K.Jackson thrown to LOU37 broken up by #6 S.Clark

3rd & 11Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.93

(09:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete short left to #19 P.Douglas caught at LOU30, for 16 yards to the LOU30, out of bounds at LOU30, 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

(09:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 D.Gause rush middle for 2 yards gain to the LOU28 (#11 T.Capers)

2nd & 8Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.67

(08:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Trader pass complete short left to #11 C.Bailey caught at LOU36, for 0 yards to the LOU28 (#13 T.Holloway)

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.92

(07:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass incomplete short right to #0 V.Snow thrown to LOU25 QB hurried by #99 J.Smith II

4th & 8Field Goal Good+46 yds

(07:37) #94 K.Vinesett field goal attempt from 46 yards GOOD (H: #96 J.Waller, LS: #92 A.Arias), clock 07:34

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.63

(07:27) Shotgun #5 K.Brown rush middle for 20 yards gain to the LOU40 (#7 B.Nelson II), 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.07

(06:46) Shotgun #3 L.Kienholz pass complete short middle to #2 T.Hurry caught at LOU46, for 12 yards to the NCSU48 (#7 B.Nelson II), 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +1.07

(06:12) Shotgun #3 L.Kienholz pass complete deep right to #0 T.Richardson caught at NCSU28, for 28 yards to the NCSU20 (#7 B.Nelson II), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-1 yds

(05:33) Shotgun #5 K.Brown rush middle for 1 yard loss to the NCSU21 fumbled by #5 K.Brown at NCSU23 forced by #88 I.Shirley recovered by NCSU #0 P.Aguirre at NCSU21, End Of Play

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

(05:28) Shotgun #11 C.Bailey rush middle for 4 yards gain to the NCSU25 (#90 D.Russell)

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

(04:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Scott rush middle for 2 yards gain to the NCSU27 (#90 D.Russell)

3rd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.26

(04:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete short middle to #2 J.Trader caught at NCSU30, for 5 yards to the NCSU32 (#23 B.Perry; #6 S.Clark), 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

(03:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Scott rush middle for 1 yard gain to the NCSU33 (#4 T.Banks; #50 C.Lubin)

2nd & 9Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.52

(03:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete short left to #8 K.Jackson caught at NCSU48, for 18 yards to the LOU49 (#11 T.Capers; #13 T.Holloway), 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

(02:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 D.Gause rush middle for 2 yards gain to the LOU47 (#3 T.Thompson)

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

(02:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass incomplete short right to #2 J.Trader thrown to LOU39 broken up by #25 B.Scott

3rd & 8Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.67

(01:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete short right to #2 J.Trader caught at LOU41, for 17 yards to the LOU30 (#12 D.Waller), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

(01:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass incomplete short right to #7 D.Gause thrown to LOU15 QB hurried by #11 T.Capers

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.09

(01:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete short right to #82 C.Robinson caught at LOU29, for 4 yards to the LOU26 (#11 T.Capers), out of bounds

3rd & 6Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.85

(00:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete short right to #0 V.Snow caught at LOU25, for 6 yards to the LOU20 (#4 T.Banks), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

(14:59) Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass incomplete deep left to #2 J.Trader thrown to LOU00

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.35

(14:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey rush middle for 1 yard gain to the LOU19 (#50 C.Lubin)

3rd & 9Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +3.35

(14:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete short middle to #8 K.Jackson caught at LOU00, for 19 yards to the LOU00 QB hurried by #23 B.Perry TOUCHDOWN, clock 14:20, 1ST DOWN #94 K.Vinesett kick attempt good (H: #96 J.Waller, LS: #92 A.Arias)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

(14:14) Shotgun #3 L.Kienholz pass incomplete short middle to #7 L.McCoy thrown to LOU40 broken up by #88 I.Shirley

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.37

(14:10) Shotgun #1 I.Brown rush middle for 1 yard gain to the LOU30 (#22 J.Vick; #8 D.Nelson)

3rd & 9Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.60

(13:21) Shotgun #3 L.Kienholz pass complete short left to #0 T.Richardson caught at LOU29, for 14 yards to the LOU44 (#0 P.Aguirre; #29 B.Barnhardt), 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Penalty+10 yds

(12:45) Shotgun #3 L.Kienholz pass incomplete short right to #2 T.Hurry thrown to NCSU37 QB hurried by #0 P.Aguirre PENALTY LOU Holding (#80 B.Foley) 10 yards from LOU44 to LOU34. NO PLAY

1st & 20Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.54

(12:39) Shotgun #1 I.Brown rush left for 8 yards gain to the LOU42 (#29 B.Barnhardt) PENALTY NCSU Block Below Waist (#7 B.Nelson II) 15 yards from LOU42 to NCSU43, 1ST DOWN. #70 A.O'neal injured on the play

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)0 ydsPPA -0.94

(12:22) #1 I.Brown rush middle for 0 yards to the NCSU43 fumbled by #1 I.Brown at NCSU41 forced by #99 A.Prim recovered by LOU #66 J.Brown III at NCSU43, End Of Play

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

(11:37) Shotgun #3 L.Kienholz pass incomplete short right to #7 L.McCoy thrown to NCSU35 broken up by #14 J.Sensabaugh

3rd & 10Rush+23 ydsPPA +2.73

(11:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 L.Kienholz rush left for 23 yards gain to the NCSU20 (#7 B.Nelson II), 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

(11:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 I.Brown rush middle for 3 yards gain to the NCSU17 (#29 B.Barnhardt)

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

(10:27) #3 L.Kienholz pass incomplete short right to #88 J.Skinner thrown to NCSU14

3rd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.14

(10:21) Shotgun #3 L.Kienholz pass complete short left to #2 T.Hurry caught at NCSU11, for 6 yards to the NCSU11 (#7 B.Nelson II; #22 J.Vick)

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -4.24

(09:36) #3 L.Kienholz rush middle for 0 yards to the NCSU11 (#44 J.Moreta; #47 A.Farrow), TURNOVER ON DOWNS

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

(09:23) Shotgun #7 D.Gause rush middle for 3 yards gain to the NCSU14 (#93 B.Abercrombie; #11 T.Capers)

2nd & 7Penalty+7 yds

(08:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 D.Gause rush middle for 2 yards gain to the NCSU16 (#10 K.Beasley) PENALTY NCSU Chop Block (#79 K.Smith) 7 yards from NCSU14 to NCSU07. NO PLAY

2nd & 14Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.06

(08:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 D.Gause rush middle for 1 yard gain to the NCSU08 (#13 T.Holloway)

3rd & 13Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.03

(07:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 D.Gause rush middle for 2 yards gain to the NCSU10 (#3 T.Thompson)

4th & 11Punt0 yds

(07:17) #96 J.Waller punt 39 yards to the NCSU49 fair catch by #14 J.Voth at NCSU49

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.75

(07:10) Shotgun #3 L.Kienholz pass complete short middle to #5 K.Brown caught at NCSU50, for 13 yards to the NCSU36 (#12 C.Gordon; #4 K.Mack), 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

(06:29) Shotgun #5 K.Brown rush middle for 3 yards gain to the NCSU33 (#92 C.Bond)

2nd & 7Passing Touchdown+33 ydsPPA +3.24

(05:56) Shotgun #3 L.Kienholz pass complete deep right to #7 L.McCoy caught at NCSU05, for 33 yards to the NCSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 05:51, 1ST DOWN #35 C.Hilbert kick attempt good (H: #17 R.Zimmerman, LS: #51 H.Travelstead)

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

(05:51) Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete short middle to #19 P.Douglas caught at NCSU30, for 5 yards to the NCSU30 (#10 K.Beasley)

2nd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.84

(05:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete short right to #7 D.Gause caught at NCSU27, for 6 yards to the NCSU36 (#25 B.Scott), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +2.36

(04:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete short right to #19 P.Douglas caught at LOU45, for 35 yards to the LOU29 (#13 T.Holloway; #11 T.Capers), 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.68

(04:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey rush left for 9 yards gain to the LOU20 (#10 K.Beasley)

2nd & 1Rush+9 ydsPPA -0.41

(03:24) Shotgun #10 W.Wilson rush middle for 9 yards gain to the LOU11 (#10 K.Beasley), 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

(02:41) Shotgun #10 W.Wilson rush middle for 4 yards gain to the LOU07 (#25 B.Scott)

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

(01:58) Shotgun #10 W.Wilson rush right for 3 yards gain to the LOU04 (#90 D.Russell), out of bounds. #90 D.Russell injured on the play

3rd & 3Penalty+5 yds

PENALTY NCSU False Start (#50 D.Cruz) 5 yards from LOU04 to LOU09. NO PLAY

3rd & 8Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.73

(01:52) Shotgun #11 C.Bailey sacked for loss of 3 yards to the LOU12 (#23 B.Perry)

4th & 11Field Goal Good+29 yds

(01:45) #94 K.Vinesett field goal attempt from 29 yards GOOD (H: #96 J.Waller, LS: #92 A.Arias), clock 01:42

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

(01:33) Shotgun #3 L.Kienholz pass incomplete short right to #7 L.McCoy thrown to LOU27

2nd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.63

(01:32) Shotgun #3 L.Kienholz pass complete short right to #0 T.Richardson caught at LOU15, for 15 yards to the LOU34 (#35 L.Hodge), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.24

(01:23) Shotgun #3 L.Kienholz pass complete short left to #2 T.Hurry caught at LOU44, for 13 yards to the LOU47 (#3 T.Teasdell; #14 J.Sensabaugh), 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

(01:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 L.Kienholz pass incomplete deep left to #0 T.Richardson thrown to NCSU24 broken up by #2 R.Royal, III

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

(01:07) Shotgun #3 L.Kienholz pass complete short left to #14 J.Voth caught at NCSU48, for 5 yards to the NCSU48 (#2 R.Royal, III), out of bounds

3rd & 5Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.93

(01:04) Shotgun #3 L.Kienholz sacked for loss of 9 yards to the LOU43 (#92 C.Bond)

4th & 14Punt0 yds

(00:55) #91 N.Hayes punt 43 yards to the NCSU14

1st & 10Penalty+7 yds

(00:43) Shotgun #7 D.Gause rush middle for 3 yards gain to the NCSU17 (#29 B.Ruffin) PENALTY NCSU Holding (#19 P.Douglas) 7 yards from NCSU14 to NCSU07. NO PLAY

1st & 17Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

(00:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 D.Gause rush middle for 4 yards gain to the NCSU11 (#50 C.Lubin; #11 T.Capers)

2nd & 13Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.05

(00:32) Shotgun #7 D.Gause rush middle for 3 yards gain to the NCSU14 (#2 D.Kennedy)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

(14:59) Shotgun #7 D.Gause rush middle for 0 yards to the NCSU25 (#50 C.Lubin; #99 J.Smith II)

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.63

(14:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete short right to #19 P.Douglas caught at NCSU36, for 11 yards to the NCSU36, End Of Play, 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.97

(13:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey sacked for loss of 9 yards to the NCSU27 (#50 C.Lubin)

2nd & 19Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +3.36

(13:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete deep middle to #0 V.Snow caught at LOU50, for 24 yards to the LOU49 (#10 K.Beasley), 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

(12:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass incomplete deep right to #8 K.Jackson thrown to LOU07 broken up by #10 K.Beasley

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.81

(12:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete short left to #25 D.Johnson caught at NCSU46, for 8 yards to the LOU41 (#4 T.Banks)

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

(11:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass incomplete short right to #13 T.Warren thrown to LOU41 broken up by #23 B.Perry

4th & 2Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +2.25

(11:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete short right to #8 K.Jackson caught at LOU37, for 7 yards to the LOU34 (#25 B.Scott), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+34 ydsPPA +2.94

(11:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete deep middle to #13 T.Warren caught at LOU00, for 34 yards to the LOU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:03, 1ST DOWN #94 K.Vinesett kick attempt good (H: #96 J.Waller, LS: #92 A.Arias)

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

(10:53) Shotgun #3 L.Kienholz pass complete short left to #0 T.Richardson caught at LOU24, for 5 yards to the LOU25 (#14 J.Sensabaugh; #3 T.Teasdell)

2nd & 5Rush+20 ydsPPA +2.02

(10:22) Shotgun #1 I.Brown rush middle for 20 yards gain to the LOU45 (#7 B.Nelson II), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.59

(09:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 I.Brown rush middle for 2 yards loss to the LOU43 (#13 J.Adedire; #5 H.Dyson III)

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

(09:20) Shotgun #3 L.Kienholz pass incomplete deep middle to #0 T.Richardson thrown to NCSU02

3rd & 12Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.67

(09:14) Shotgun #3 L.Kienholz pass complete short right to #14 J.Voth caught at NCSU48, for 9 yards to the NCSU48 (#14 J.Sensabaugh)

4th & 3Penalty+10 yds

(08:30) Shotgun #3 L.Kienholz pass complete short middle to #7 L.McCoy caught at NCSU44, for 3 yards to the NCSU45 (#7 B.Nelson II) PENALTY NCSU Holding (#0 P.Aguirre) 10 yards from NCSU48 to NCSU38, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+38 ydsPPA +3.09

(08:16) Shotgun #3 L.Kienholz pass complete short right to #0 T.Richardson caught at NCSU35, for 38 yards to the NCSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:05, 1ST DOWN #35 C.Hilbert kick attempt good (H: #17 R.Zimmerman, LS: #51 H.Travelstead)

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.93

(08:04) Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete short right to #2 J.Trader caught at NCSU32, for 11 yards to the NCSU36 (#25 B.Scott), 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

(07:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 D.Gause rush middle for 3 yards gain to the NCSU39 (#99 J.Smith II)

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

(06:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass incomplete deep right to #8 K.Jackson thrown to LOU40 broken up by #13 T.Holloway

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

(06:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass incomplete short left to #2 J.Trader thrown to NCSU46

4th & 7Punt0 yds

(06:43) #96 J.Waller punt 27 yards to the LOU34, out of bounds at LOU34

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.03

(06:35) Shotgun #3 L.Kienholz pass complete short middle to #0 T.Richardson caught at LOU40, for 8 yards to the LOU42 (#3 T.Teasdell; #8 D.Nelson). #3 T.Teasdell injured on the play

2nd & 2Fumble Recovery (Own)-1 ydsPPA -6.46

(06:09) Shotgun #3 L.Kienholz sacked for loss of 1 yard to the LOU41 (#42 K.Carter), fumble by #3 L.Kienholz recovered by NCSU #0 P.Aguirre at LOU41, End Of Play PENALTY LOU Holding declined

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

(06:01) Shotgun #7 D.Gause rush middle for 5 yards gain to the LOU36 (#96 T.Ziesmer) PENALTY LOU Face Mask (#96 T.Ziesmer) 15 yards from LOU36 to LOU21, 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

(05:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 D.Gause rush middle for 3 yards gain to the LOU18 (#23 B.Perry; #19 M.Carter)

2nd & 7Penalty+5 yds

(05:22) PENALTY NCSU False Start (#8 K.Jackson) 5 yards from LOU18 to LOU23. NO PLAY

2nd & 12Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.42

(05:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey rush left for 9 yards gain to the LOU14 (#50 C.Lubin)

3rd & 3Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.85

(04:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete short middle to #2 J.Trader caught at LOU03, for 13 yards to the LOU01 (#25 B.Scott), 1ST DOWN

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

(03:54) Shotgun #10 W.Wilson rush middle for 1 yard gain to the LOU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:50 #7 D.Gause pass attempt Successful

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.97

(03:43) Shotgun #5 K.Brown rush middle for 12 yards gain to the LOU35 (#7 B.Nelson II), 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.77

(03:18) Shotgun #3 L.Kienholz pass complete short middle to #85 J.Reid caught at NCSU48, for 20 yards to the NCSU45, End Of Play, 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

(02:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 L.Kienholz pass incomplete short middle to #2 T.Hurry thrown to NCSU35 broken up by #7 B.Nelson II

2nd & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.50

(02:51) Shotgun #3 L.Kienholz rush left for 10 yards gain to the NCSU35 (#0 P.Aguirre), 1ST DOWN, PENALTY NCSU Personal Foul 15 yards from NCSU35 to NCSU20, 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

(02:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 L.Kienholz pass incomplete deep left to #1 I.Brown thrown to NCSU00 broken up by #8 D.Nelson

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.14

(02:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 L.Kienholz pass complete short right to #0 T.Richardson caught at NCSU18, for 3 yards to the NCSU17 (#4 K.Mack)

3rd & 7Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.25

(01:45) Shotgun #3 L.Kienholz rush left for 12 yards gain to the NCSU05 (#35 L.Hodge), 1ST DOWN

1st & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

(01:05) Shotgun #5 K.Brown rush middle for 4 yards gain to the NCSU01 (#55 K.Evans). The previous play is under automatic review - "Runner was down by contact". CALL UPHELD

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

(00:26) #5 K.Brown rush middle for 1 yard gain to the NCSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:20 #35 C.Hilbert kick attempt good (H: #17 R.Zimmerman, LS: #51 H.Travelstead) PENALTY #35 C.Hilbert kick attempt good (H: #17 R.Zimmerman, LS: #51 H.Travelstead) PENALTY NCSU Offside declined

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

(00:18) Shotgun #7 D.Gause rush middle for 2 yards gain to the NCSU27 (#11 T.Capers; #3 T.Thompson)

2nd & 8Pass Reception+46 ydsPPA +3.79

(14:59) Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete deep right to #2 J.Trader caught at LOU30, for 46 yards to the LOU27 (#12 D.Waller), 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.18

(14:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 D.Gause rush middle for 12 yards gain to the LOU15 (#10 K.Beasley), 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

(13:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass incomplete short right to #19 P.Douglas thrown to LOU16

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.19

(13:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete short right to #19 P.Douglas caught at LOU09, for 7 yards to the LOU08 (#10 K.Beasley), out of bounds

3rd & 3Interception0 yds

(13:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass intercepted by #10 K.Beasley at LOU00, Touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.69

(12:58) Shotgun #3 L.Kienholz pass complete short left to #88 J.Skinner caught at LOU20, for 10 yards to the LOU30 (#0 P.Aguirre), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+70 ydsPPA +5.69

(12:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 I.Brown rush middle for 70 yards gain to the NCSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:27, 1ST DOWN #35 C.Hilbert kick attempt good (H: #17 R.Zimmerman, LS: #51 H.Travelstead)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

(12:26) Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass incomplete short right to #19 P.Douglas thrown to NCSU37. #71 Y.Mugharbil injured on the play

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

(12:23) Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass incomplete short right to #2 J.Trader thrown to NCSU32 broken up by #25 B.Scott

3rd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.23

(12:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey rush right for 8 yards gain to the NCSU33 (#50 C.Lubin; #6 S.Clark)

4th & 2Punt0 yds

(11:28) #96 J.Waller punt 43 yards to the LOU24 fair catch by #14 J.Voth at LOU24

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.89

(11:22) Shotgun #3 L.Kienholz pass complete short right to #7 L.McCoy caught at LOU32, for 8 yards to the LOU32 (#14 J.Sensabaugh)

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -1.10

(10:57) Shotgun #5 K.Brown rush right for 0 yards to the LOU32 (#8 D.Nelson)

3rd & 2Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.40

(10:16) Shotgun #3 L.Kienholz pass complete short left to #0 T.Richardson caught at LOU37, for 6 yards to the LOU38 (#0 P.Aguirre; #22 J.Vick), 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Fumble0 yds

(09:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 K.Brown rush middle for 44 yards gain to the NCSU18 (#5 H.Dyson III), 1ST DOWN. The previous play is under automatic review - "Fumble". CALL OVERTURNED. (Original Play: (09:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 K.Brown rush middle for 44 yards gain to the NCSU18 (#5 H.Dyson III), 1ST DOWN)

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+49 ydsPPA -2.35

(09:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 K.Brown rush middle for 49 yards gain to the NCSU13 fumbled by #5 K.Brown at NCSU18 forced by #5 H.Dyson III recovered by NCSU #0 P.Aguirre at NCSU13, End Of Play. The previous play is under automatic review - "Fumble". CALL OVERTURNED. (Original Play: (09:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 K.Brown rush middle for 44 yards gain to the NCSU18 (#5 H.Dyson III), 1ST DOWN)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

(09:33) Shotgun #7 D.Gause rush middle for 4 yards gain to the NCSU17 (#19 M.Carter)

2nd & 6Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.15

(09:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete short right to #7 D.Gause caught at NCSU16, for 3 yards to the NCSU20 (#11 T.Capers), out of bounds PENALTY LOU Personal Foul (#3 T.Thompson) 15 yards from NCSU20 to NCSU35, 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

(09:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass incomplete deep right to #0 V.Snow thrown to LOU45

2nd & 10Pass Reception+36 ydsPPA +3.47

(08:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete short right to #7 D.Gause caught at NCSU33, for 36 yards to the LOU29 (#6 S.Clark), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

(08:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #25 D.Johnson rush middle for 3 yards gain to the LOU26 (#23 B.Perry; #19 M.Carter)

2nd & 7Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.37

(07:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete short right to #13 T.Warren caught at LOU21, for 9 yards to the LOU17 (#25 B.Scott), 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

(06:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 D.Gause rush middle for 3 yards gain to the LOU14 (#23 B.Perry; #6 S.Clark)

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

(06:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 D.Gause rush middle for 3 yards gain to the LOU11 (#11 T.Capers)

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

(05:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass incomplete short left to #8 K.Jackson thrown to LOU00

4th & 4Field Goal Good+28 yds

(05:32) #94 K.Vinesett field goal attempt from 28 yards GOOD (H: #96 J.Waller, LS: #92 A.Arias), clock 05:30

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

(05:24) Shotgun #3 L.Kienholz pass incomplete short middle thrown to LOU28 broken up by #58 E.Satchell QB hurried by #92 C.Bond

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

(05:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 I.Brown rush right for 1 yard gain to the LOU22 (#88 I.Shirley; #0 P.Aguirre)

3rd & 9Sack-11 ydsPPA -0.25

(04:37) Shotgun #3 L.Kienholz sacked for loss of 11 yards to the LOU11 (#5 H.Dyson III)

4th & 20Punt0 yds

(04:01) #91 N.Hayes punt 41 yards to the NCSU48 fair catch by #0 V.Snow at NCSU48

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.15

(03:55) Shotgun #7 D.Gause rush middle for 9 yards gain to the LOU43 (#4 T.Banks; #11 T.Capers)

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.28

(03:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 D.Gause rush middle for 4 yards gain to the LOU39 (#99 J.Smith II), 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

(03:01) Shotgun #7 D.Gause rush middle for 2 yards gain to the LOU37 (#25 B.Scott; #6 S.Clark)

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.73

(02:56) Shotgun #7 D.Gause rush middle for 1 yard gain to the LOU36 (#11 T.Capers)

3rd & 7Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.56

(02:52) Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete short middle to #0 V.Snow caught at LOU30, for 9 yards to the LOU27 (#4 T.Banks), 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.37

(02:05) Shotgun #7 D.Gause rush middle for 1 yard gain to the LOU26 (#93 B.Abercrombie; #10 K.Beasley)

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

(01:58) Shotgun #10 W.Wilson rush middle for 5 yards gain to the LOU21 (#10 K.Beasley)

3rd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.48

(01:13) Shotgun #10 W.Wilson rush middle for 4 yards gain to the LOU17, End Of Play, 1ST DOWN. The previous play is under automatic review - "Runner was down by contact". CALL OVERTURNED. (Original Play: (01:13) Shotgun #10 W.Wilson rush middle for 4 yards gain to the LOU17 fumbled by #10 W.Wilson at LOU16 recovered by LOU #13 T.Holloway at LOU17, End Of Play)

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.77

(01:11) Kneel down by #11 C.Bailey at LOU22 for loss of 5 yards

2nd & 15Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.62

(00:27) Kneel down by #11 C.Bailey at LOU27 for loss of 5 yards

Situational Analysis

Louisville

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
—
0%
1 play
54%
26 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
33%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
50%
10 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
67%
6 plays
100%
1 play
4th
0%
1 play
—
—
—

NC State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
—
24%
34 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
56%
18 plays
33%
6 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
75%
4 plays
57%
7 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play
—
—
—